Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 0.000090 0.000099 0.000110 0.000121 0.000134 0.000148 0.000165
2026-01-25 0.000075 0.000088 0.000103 0.000120 0.000141 0.000165 0.000195
2026-02-01 0.000065 0.000080 0.000097 0.000120 0.000148 0.000182 0.000226
2026-02-08 0.000056 0.000072 0.000092 0.000118 0.000152 0.000196 0.000255
2026-02-15 0.000050 0.000066 0.000088 0.000117 0.000158 0.000211 0.000286
2026-02-22 0.000045 0.000062 0.000085 0.000117 0.000164 0.000227 0.000320
2026-03-01 0.000040 0.000057 0.000081 0.000116 0.000167 0.000240 0.000351
2026-03-08 0.000037 0.000055 0.000079 0.000117 0.000174 0.000257 0.000390
2026-03-15 0.000034 0.000052 0.000077 0.000117 0.000179 0.000273 0.000427
2026-03-22 0.000032 0.000049 0.000075 0.000116 0.000183 0.000286 0.000461
2026-03-29 0.000030 0.000047 0.000074 0.000118 0.000191 0.000307 0.000508
2026-04-05 0.000028 0.000045 0.000072 0.000118 0.000196 0.000322 0.000549
2026-04-12 0.000026 0.000043 0.000070 0.000118 0.000200 0.000338 0.000591
2026-04-19 0.000024 0.000041 0.000068 0.000117 0.000204 0.000353 0.000634
2026-04-26 0.000023 0.000039 0.000067 0.000117 0.000209 0.000370 0.000683
2026-05-03 0.000021 0.000037 0.000064 0.000116 0.000210 0.000382 0.000722
2026-05-10 0.000020 0.000035 0.000063 0.000115 0.000214 0.000397 0.000769
2026-05-17 0.000019 0.000034 0.000061 0.000115 0.000219 0.000415 0.000824
2026-05-24 0.000017 0.000032 0.000060 0.000114 0.000221 0.000428 0.000869
2026-05-31 0.000017 0.000031 0.000059 0.000115 0.000227 0.000450 0.000936
2026-06-07 0.000016 0.000030 0.000058 0.000115 0.000232 0.000468 0.000997
2026-06-14 0.000015 0.000029 0.000057 0.000114 0.000235 0.000483 0.001051
2026-06-21 0.000014 0.000029 0.000056 0.000116 0.000243 0.000511 0.001135